MCG Bitcoin Intelligence SystemMCGBitcoin Intelligence System
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Methodology settings

The methodology lives in configuration, not in code. Change a weight or a threshold here and every score, recommendation and probability recalculates from the same recorded observations.

Indicator configuration

Weight, thresholds, tier and quality scores. Changes save on blur.

IndicatorOnWeightBullishNeutralBearishRel.Time.Pred.
MVRV Z-Score
valuation · decision · higher bearish
NUPL
valuation · decision · higher bearish
Spot ETF Net Flows (20d)
demand · decision · higher bullish
Global M2 (proxy)
liquidity · decision · higher bullish
Fed Net Liquidity
liquidity · decision · higher bullish
Realized Price Ratio
valuation · decision · higher bearish
LTH Net Position Change
holder · decision · higher bullish
Puell Multiple
valuation · decision · higher bearish
Broad Dollar Index
liquidity · decision · higher bearish
10Y Real Yield
liquidity · decision · higher bearish
MVRV Ratio
valuation · decision · higher bearish
High Yield Credit Spread
liquidity · decision · higher bearish
Exchange BTC Supply
holder · decision · higher bearish
Reserve Risk
valuation · decision · higher bearish
RHODL Ratio
valuation · decision · higher bearish
Supply by Age (1y+)
holder · decision · higher bullish
SOPR
holder · decision · higher bearish
LTH Sell-Side Risk
holder · decision · higher bearish
Bull Market Support Band
trend · confirmation · higher bullish
200-Week Moving Average
trend · confirmation · higher bearish
Open Interest / Market Cap
leverage · decision · higher bearish
Funding Rate (7d avg)
leverage · decision · higher bearish
Weekly RSI
trend · confirmation · higher bearish
Coin Days Destroyed
holder · decision · higher bearish
Stablecoin Supply Ratio
demand · decision · higher bearish
Corporate Treasury Purchases
demand · confirmation · higher bullish
Futures Basis (3m annualised)
leverage · confirmation · higher bearish
US M2
liquidity · context · higher bullish
Chicago Fed NFCI
liquidity · confirmation · higher bearish
100-Week Moving Average
trend · confirmation · higher bearish
50-Week Moving Average
trend · confirmation · higher bearish
Pi Cycle Top
trend · confirmation · higher bearish
Exchange Stablecoin Supply
demand · confirmation · higher bullish
Supertrend (Weekly)
trend · confirmation · higher bullish
Treasury General Account
liquidity · context · higher bearish
Overnight Reverse Repo
liquidity · context · higher bearish
Bollinger %B (Weekly)
trend · confirmation · higher bearish
Fear & Greed Index
sentiment · confirmation · higher bearish
Options Put/Call Ratio
leverage · context · higher bullish
Google Trends
sentiment · context · higher bearish
Long/Short Liquidation Skew
leverage · context · higher bearish
X Activity
sentiment · context · higher bearish
Wikipedia Views
sentiment · context · higher bearish
YouTube Activity
sentiment · context · higher bearish